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Published: Jun, 2015 | Pages:
453 | Publisher: SNS Research
Industry: Telecommunications | Report Format: Electronic (PDF)
Due to the bandwidth limitations of their traditional voice-centric LMR (Land Mobile Radio) networks, public safety agencies are keen to leverage commercial cellular network technology to support their growing broadband application needs. Considering its thriving ecosystem, spectrum flexibility and performance metrics, LTE has emerged as the leading candidate for public safety mobile broadband networks. Standardization efforts are still underway to enhance the LTE standard for public safety requirements, including MCPTT (Mission Critical PTT) functionality, group communications and proximity services. However, this has not deterred public safety agencies from early deployments of the technology, particularly in the Middle East and Asia Pacific regions. The Qatar MOI made headlines when it deployed a private 800 MHz LTE network to complement its existing TETRA network with broadband applications. Since then, several private LTE networks have sprung up across the globe. For example, the Lijiang Police in China is utilizing a 20 site private LTE network for video surveillance and related applications. While most initial public safety LTE investments were limited to small scale networks, South Korea’s nationwide public safety LTE rollout is expected to trigger significant large-scale investments throughout the globe. Several early adopter private LTE deployments are also underway in the United States, as part of the planned FirstNet nationwide network. Europe, on the other hand, is predominantly seeing growing adoption of security hardened MVNO services that utilize commercial LTE networks to provide broadband access for public safety subscribers. However, private LTE pilots are also underway in the region, including engagements with armed forces with a major focus on transportable base station form factors, such as CIAB (Cell-in-a-Box). Driven by the thriving ecosystem, we expect public safety LTE infrastructure investments to grow at a CAGR of nearly 40% between 2015 and 2020. By the end of 2020, infrastructure investments which include base stations (eNBs), mobile core and mobile backhaul gear will account for over $2 Billion. The market for ruggedized public safety LTE devices will also witness significant growth, with an estimated 4 Million annual device shipments in 2020. The “Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2015 – 2030 – Opportunities, Challenges, Strategies & Forecasts” report presents an in-depth assessment of the global public safety LTE market, besides touching upon the wider LMR and mobile broadband industries. In addition to covering the business case, challenges, technology, spectrum allocation, industry roadmap, deployment case studies, vendor products, strategies, standardization initiatives and applications ecosystem for public safety LTE, the report also presents comprehensive forecasts for mobile broadband, LMR and public safety LTE subscriptions from 2015 till 2030. Also covered are public safety LTE service revenues, over both private and commercial networks. In addition, the report presents revenue and unit shipment forecasts for public safety LTE devices and infrastructure. The report comes with an associated XLS datasheet covering quantitative data from all figures presented within the report, as well as a list and associated details of over 60 global public safety LTE network commitments (as of Q2’2015). Topics Covered The report covers the following topics: - Business case for public safety LTE and mobile broadband services, including key benefits and challenges - Technology, economics, trends, commercial commitments and deployment case studies - List of public safety LTE deployments worldwide - Public safety LTE infrastructure, devices and applications - Industry roadmap and standardization initiatives - Spectrum allocation, deployment models and funding strategies - Profiles and strategies of over 230 ecosystem players including public safety system integrators and LTE infrastructure/device OEMs - TCO analysis of private and commercial public safety LTE deployments - Military and tactical LTE deployments - Public safety LTE base station (eNB) form factor analysis - Exclusive interview transcripts from 6 key ecosystem players: Airbus Defence and Space, Airwave Solutions, CalAmp Corporation, Motorola Solutions, Oceus Networks and Star Solutions - Strategic recommendations for vendors, system integrators, public safety agencies and wireless carriers - Market analysis and forecasts from 2015 till 2030 Forecast Segmentation Market forecasts and historical figures are provided for each of the following submarkets: Public Safety LTE (Private) Infrastructure Submarkets - RAN (Radio Access Network) - EPC (Evolved Packet Core) and Policy - Mobile Backhaul and Transport RAN Base Station (eNB) Mobility Categories - Fixed Base Stations - Transportable Base Stations RAN Base Station (eNB) Cell Size Categories - Macrocells - Small Cells Transportable RAN Base Station (eNB) Form Factor Categories - CIAB (Cell-in-a-Box) - COW (Cell-on-Wheels) - Airborne Cells Public Safety LTE Devices Submarkets - Private LTE - Commercial LTE Form Factor Categories - Smartphones & Handportable Terminals - Vehicle Mount Routers & Terminals - Tablets & Notebook PCs - USB Dongles & Others Public Safety LTE Subscriptions & Service Revenue Submarkets - Private LTE - Commercial LTE Public Safety User Subscriptions over Private Mobile Broadband Submarkets - Private LTE - Private WiMAX Public Safety User Subscriptions over Commercial Mobile Broadband Submarkets - CDMA2000/EV-DO - W-CDMA/HSPA - WiMAX - LTE - 5G & Beyond LMR Subscriptions Submarkets - Analog - DMR - dPMR, NXDN & PDT - P25 - TETRA - Tetrapol - Others LMR Data Subscriptions Submarkets - P25 - Phase 1 - P25 - Phase 2 - TETRA - TEDS - Tetrapol - Others Public Safety LTE Applications Submarkets - Video Applications - GIS, AVLS and Mapping - Mobile VPN Access & Security - CAD (Computer Aided Dispatching) - Remote Database Access - Telemetry and Remote Diagnostics - Bulk Multimedia/Data Transfers - PTT & Voice over LTE - Situational Awareness Applications Regional Segmentation The following regional markets are covered: - Asia Pacific - Eastern Europe - Latin & Central America - Middle East & Africa - North America - Western Europe Key Questions Answered The report provides answers to the following key questions: - How big is the public safety LTE opportunity? - What trends, challenges and barriers are influencing its growth? - How is the ecosystem evolving by segment and region? - What will the market size be in 2020 and at what rate will it grow? - Which countries and submarkets will see the highest percentage of growth? - How does standardization impact the adoption of LTE for public safety applications? - When will MCPTT and proximity services see large scale proliferation? - What is the status of private LTE rollouts and public safety MVNO offerings across the globe? - What opportunities exist for commercial wireless carriers and MVNOs in the public safety LTE market? - Is there a market for 400 MHz LTE networks? - What are the prospects of tactical, rapidly deployable and airborne LTE solutions? - How can public safety agencies leverage unused spectrum resources to fund private LTE networks? - What strategies should system integrators and vendors adopt to remain competitive? Key Findings The report has the following key findings: - We expect public safety LTE infrastructure investments to grow at a CAGR of nearly 40% between 2015 and 2020. By the end of 2020, infrastructure investments which include base stations (eNBs), mobile core and mobile backhaul gear will account for over $2 Billion - The market for ruggedized public safety LTE devices will witness similar growth, with an estimated 4 Million annual device shipments in 2020 - By 2020, the installed base of private public safety LTE base stations (eNBs) will reach 150,000. By that time, transportable LTE solutions will account for close to 20% of all public safety LTE infrastructure investments - Commercial carriers and public safety MVNOs will pocket over $8 Billion in public safety LTE service revenue by the end of 2020, following growth at a CAGR of 50% between 2015 and 2020 - Almost all major LMR industry players are leveraging partnerships with established LTE infrastructure vendors such as Nokia, Huawei, Ericsson and Alcatel-Lucent, to offer end-to-end LTE solutions - Consolidation efforts are continuing to take place throughout the industry, particularly among the largest LTE infrastructure vendors and public safety system integrators
Table of Content 1 Chapter 1: Introduction 21 1.1 Executive Summary 21 1.2 Key Findings 23 1.3 Topics Covered 24 1.4 Forecast Segmentation 25 1.5 Key Questions Answered 27 1.6 Methodology 28 1.7 Target Audience 29 1.8 Companies Mentioned 30 2 Chapter 2: An Overview of the Public Safety Mobile Broadband Market 36 2.1 Narrowband LMR (Land Mobile Radio) Systems in Public Safety 36 2.1.1 LMR Market Size 37 2.1.1.1 Analog LMR 37 2.1.1.2 DMR 38 2.1.1.3 dPMR, NXDN & PDT 38 2.1.1.4 P25 39 2.1.1.5 TETRA 39 2.1.1.6 Tetrapol 40 2.1.1.7 Other LMR Technologies 40 2.1.2 The Perceived Role of Mobile Broadband in Public Safety Scenarios 41 2.1.3 The Limitations of LMR Data Capabilities 41 2.2 Mobile Broadband for Public Safety 42 2.2.1 Partnerships with Commercial Carriers 42 2.2.2 Private LTE and WiMAX Deployments 42 2.3 How Big is the Mobile Broadband Market? 42 2.3.1 Will the Public Safety Segment Witness the Same Level of Growth as the Consumer Segment? 43 2.3.2 What are the Growth Drivers? 43 2.3.3 Will LMR Systems Continue to Support Mission-Critical Voice? 45 2.4 The Use of Commercial Mobile Broadband Technology for Public Safety 46 2.5 Why LTE? 46 2.5.1 Performance Metrics 46 2.5.2 Coexistence, Interoperability and Spectrum Flexibility 47 2.5.3 A Thriving Ecosystem 47 2.5.4 OPEX Reduction 48 2.6 Public Safety LTE Technology & Architecture 49 2.6.1 E-UTRAN – The LTE RAN (Radio Access Network) 50 2.6.2 TDD vs. FDD 51 2.6.3 UE (User Equipment) 51 2.6.3.1 Smartphones & Handportable Terminals 51 2.6.3.2 Vehicle Mount Routers & Terminals 52 2.6.3.3 Tablets & Notebook PCs 52 2.6.3.4 USB Dongles & Others 52 2.6.4 EPC (Evolved Packet Core) – The LTE Mobile Core 53 2.6.4.1 SGW (Serving Gateway) 53 2.6.4.2 PGW (Packet Data Network Gateway) 53 2.6.4.3 MME (Mobility Management Entity) 53 2.6.4.4 HSS (Home Subscriber Server) 54 2.6.4.5 PCRF (Policy Charging and Rules Function) 54 2.6.5 LMR Network Integration and Inter-Working 54 2.6.6 Support for Roaming in Public Safety LTE 55 2.6.7 Inter-System Roaming 55 2.6.8 Intra-System Roaming to Commercial Carriers 56 2.7 LTE-Advanced & 5G: Implications for Public Safety 57 2.7.1 The Move Towards LTE-Advanced Networks 57 2.7.2 Impact on Public Safety LTE Rollouts 57 2.7.3 5G Requirements: Looking Towards the Future 58 2.8 Public Safety LTE Deployment Models 59 2.8.1 Private Public Safety LTE 59 2.8.2 Shared Commercial Public Safety LTE: Private-Public Partnerships 59 2.8.3 Public Safety LTE Access over Commercial Networks 59 2.8.4 Hosted Core Public Safety LTE Networks 60 2.9 Funding Models for Private Public Safety LTE Network Deployment 60 2.9.1 BOO (Built, Owned and Operated) by Integrator/Vendor 60 2.9.2 Owned and Operated by the Government Authority 60 2.9.3 Local Agency Hosted Core 61 2.9.4 Multiple Networks 61 2.10 The Public Safety LTE Business Case 62 2.10.1 Higher Throughput and Low Latency 62 2.10.2 Economic Feasibility 62 2.10.3 Bandwidth Flexibility 62 2.10.4 Spectral Efficiency 62 2.10.5 Regional Interoperability 63 2.10.6 Lack of Competition from Other Standards 63 2.10.7 Endorsement from the Public Safety Community 64 2.10.8 Commitments by Infrastructure and Device Vendors 64 2.10.9 QoS & Priority Provisioning 65 2.10.10 Support for Group Voice & Multimedia Communication 65 2.11 Challenges to the Public Safety LTE Ecosystem 66 2.11.1 Spectrum Allocation 66 2.11.2 Interworking with LMR Networks & Standardization 67 2.11.3 Budgetary Issues 67 2.11.4 Security & Resilience 68 2.11.5 Support for Mission-Critical Voice and Direct Mode-Operation 68 2.11.6 Smaller Coverage Footprint than LMR Systems 69 2.11.7 Device Battery Life in Public Safety Scenarios 69 2.11.8 User Profiles to Fit Public Safety Requirements 70 3 Chapter 3: Public Safety LTE and Mobile Broadband Industry Roadmap 71 3.1 Industry Roadmap 71 3.2 2011 – 2014: Initial Private LTE Rollouts 72 3.3 2015 – 2019: Early Nationwide Rollouts 72 3.4 2020 & Beyond: Large Scale Proliferation 73 3.5 Public Safety LTE Deployment Case Studies 74 3.5.1 MPSS (Ministry of Public Safety and Security), South Korea 74 3.5.2 Zhengzhou Metro 75 3.5.3 Harris County 76 3.5.4 JerseyNet 76 3.5.5 Qatar MOI 77 3.5.6 Turkish National Police Force 77 3.5.7 Hong Kong Police Force 77 3.5.8 Lijiang Police 78 3.5.9 German Armed Forces 78 3.5.10 Kenyan Police Service 78 4 Chapter 4: Public Safety LTE and Mobile Broadband Applications Ecosystem 80 4.1 Mobile Video 80 4.2 Mobile Broadband and Seamless Mobile VPN Access 81 4.3 GIS, AVLS and Mapping 81 4.4 CAD (Computer Aided Dispatching) 82 4.5 Remote Database Access 82 4.6 Telemetry and Remote Diagnostics 82 4.7 Bulk Multimedia/Data Transfers 83 4.8 Situational Awareness Applications 83 4.9 PTT over LTE 83 4.10 The Present State of the Market: What’s on Offer 84 4.11 The Numbers: How Big is the Public Safety LTE Applications Ecosystem? 85 5 Chapter 5: Key Ecosystem Players 86 5.1 7 layers AG 86 5.2 Aaeon Technology 87 5.3 Accelleran 88 5.4 AceAxis 89 5.5 Aculab 90 5.6 Adax 91 5.7 ADRF (Advanced RF Technologies) 92 5.8 Advantech Corporation 93 5.9 Advantech Wireless 94 5.10 Affarii Technologies 95 5.11 Affirmed Networks 96 5.12 Airbus Defence and Space 97 5.13 Air-Lynx 98 5.14 Airspan Networks 99 5.15 Airvana 100 5.16 Alcatel-Lucent 101 5.17 Altiostar Networks 102 5.18 Amdocs 103 5.19 Anritsu Corporation 104 5.20 Arcadyan Technology Corporation 105 5.21 Aricent 106 5.22 Argela 107 5.23 ARItel 108 5.24 Arqiva 109 5.25 Artemis Networks 110 5.26 Artevea 111 5.27 Aselsan 112 5.28 ASOCS 113 5.29 Athena Wireless Communications 114 5.30 Athonet 115 5.31 Atkins 116 5.32 AVI 117 5.33 Aviat Networks 118 5.34 Avtec 119 5.35 Axis Communications 120 5.36 Axis Teknologies 121 5.37 Axxcelera Broadband Wireless (Moseley Associates) 122 5.38 BandRich 123 5.39 BFDX 124 5.40 Black Box Corporation 125 5.41 Broadcom 126 5.42 Brocade Communications Systems 127 5.43 BTI Wireless 128 5.44 CalAmp Corporation 129 5.45 Casio Computer Company 130 5.46 Caterpillar 131 5.47 Cavium 132 5.48 CCI (Communication Components Inc.) 133 5.49 CCI (Competitive Companies, Inc.) 134 5.50 CCI (Crown Castle International) 135 5.51 CCTI (Catalyst Communications Technologies Inc) 136 5.52 Ceragon 137 5.53 Ciena Corporation 138 5.54 Cisco Systems 139 5.55 Cobham 140 5.56 Codan Radio Communications 141 5.57 Comba Telecom Systems Holdings 142 5.58 CommAgility 143 5.59 CommScope 144 5.60 Contela 145 5.61 Coriant 146 5.62 Corning 147 5.63 Covia Labs 148 5.64 Dali Wireless 149 5.65 DAMM Cellular Systems 150 5.66 DAP Technologies 151 5.67 Datang Mobile 152 5.68 Dell 153 5.69 DeltaNode (Bird Technologies) 154 5.70 Dongwon T&I 155 5.71 DrangonWave 156 5.72 Durabook (Twinhead International Corporation) 157 5.73 Eastcom 158 5.74 EchoStar Corporation 159 5.75 Elbit Systems 160 5.76 Elektrobit 161 5.77 Ericsson 162 5.78 ETELM 163 5.79 Etherstack 164 5.80 Ethertronics 165 5.81 EXACOM 166 5.82 Exalt Communications 167 5.83 EXFO 168 5.84 ExteNet Systems 169 5.85 Federated Wireless 170 5.86 Finmeccanica 171 5.87 Foxcom 172 5.88 FREQUENTIS AG 173 5.89 Fujitsu 174 5.90 Galtronics 175 5.91 Gemtek Technology Company 176 5.92 GENBAND 177 5.93 General Dynamics Mission Systems 178 5.94 Genesis Group 179 5.95 Getac Technology Corporation 180 5.96 Goodman Networks 181 5.97 GrenTech (China GrenTech Corporation) 182 5.98 GWT (Global Wireless Technologies) 183 5.99 Harris Corporation 184 5.100 Hitachi 185 5.101 Honeywell 186 5.102 HP (Hewlett-Packard Company) 187 5.103 HQT Radio 188 5.104 Huawei 189 5.105 Hytera Communications Company 190 5.106 IAI (Israel Aerospace Industries) 191 5.107 iCOM 192 5.108 Imtradex 192 5.109 Intel Corporation 193 5.110 InterDigital 194 5.111 InterSec 195 5.112 Intrado 195 5.113 ip.access 196 5.114 JDI (JING DENG INDUSTRIAL) 197 5.115 JMA Wireless 198 5.116 JRC (Japan Radio Company) 199 5.117 Juni Global 200 5.118 Juniper Networks 201 5.119 JVC Kenwood Corporation 202 5.120 Kapsch CarrierCom 203 5.121 Kathrein-Werke KG 204 5.122 Keysight Technologies 205 5.123 KBR (Kellogg Brown and Root) 206 5.124 Kirisun 206 5.125 Kisan Telecom 207 5.126 KMW 208 5.127 Kodiak Networks 209 5.128 Kyocera Communications 210 5.129 L-3 Communications Holdings 211 5.130 Lemko Corporation 212 5.131 LG Electronics 213 5.132 LGS Innovations 214 5.133 LiveViewGPS 215 5.134 Lockheed Martin Corporation 216 5.135 Logic Instrument 217 5.136 Mavenir (Mitel) 218 5.137 Mentura Group 219 5.138 MER-CellO Wireless Solutions 220 5.139 Microlab (Wireless Telecom Group) 221 5.140 Mitsubishi Electric Corporation 222 5.141 MobileDemand 223 5.142 MODUCOM 224 5.143 Motorola Solutions 225 5.144 Mott MacDonald 227 5.145 MTI Mobile 228 5.146 Mutualink 229 5.147 NEC Corporation 230 5.148 Netas 231 5.149 NetMotion Wireless 232 5.150 New Postcom Equipment Company 233 5.151 Nexius 234 5.152 NextNav 235 5.153 Nokia Networks 236 5.154 Northrop Grumman Corporation 237 5.155 nTerop 238 5.156 Nutaq 239 5.157 O3b Networks 240 5.158 Oceus Networks 241 5.159 Octasic 242 5.160 Panasonic Corporation 243 5.161 Panda Electronics (Nanjing Panda Electronics Company) 244 5.162 Panorama Antennas 245 5.163 Parallel Wireless 246 5.164 Phonak 247 5.165 Piciorgros (Funk-Electronic Piciorgros GmbH) 247 5.166 Polaris Networks 248 5.167 Potevio (China Potevio Company) 249 5.168 Public Wireless 250 5.169 Puxing Radio 250 5.170 Qualcomm 251 5.171 Quanta Computer 252 5.172 Qucell 253 5.173 Quortus 254 5.174 RACOM 255 5.175 Radisys Corporation 256 5.176 Radio IP 257 5.177 Raytheon Company 258 5.178 Reality Mobile (ASTRO Solutions) 259 5.179 Redline Communications 260 5.180 RELM Wireless 261 5.181 RF Window 261 5.182 RFS (Radio Frequency Systems) 262 5.183 Rivada Networks 263 5.184 Rohill 264 5.185 Rosenberger 265 5.186 SAIC (Science Applications International Corporation) 266 5.187 Samji Electronics Company 267 5.188 Samsung Electronics 268 5.189 Savox Communications 269 5.190 Sepura 270 5.191 SerComm Corporation 271 5.192 Siemens Convergence Creators 272 5.193 Sierra Wireless 273 5.194 Signalion 274 5.195 Siklu 274 5.196 Simoco 275 5.197 SiRRAN 275 5.198 SK Telesys 276 5.199 SmithMicro 277 5.200 SOLiD (SOLiD Technologies) 278 5.201 Sonim Technologies 279 5.202 Sonic Communications 280 5.203 Space Data 280 5.204 Spectra Group 281 5.205 SpiderCloud Wireless 282 5.206 Star Solutions 283 5.207 Stop Noise 284 5.208 Sumitomo Electric Industries 285 5.209 Sunnada (Fujian Sunnada Communication Company) 286 5.210 Tait Communications 287 5.211 Taqua 288 5.212 Tecom 289 5.213 Tecore 290 5.214 TESSCO Technologies 291 5.215 TCS (TeleCommunication Systems) 292 5.216 TEKTELIC Communications 293 5.217 Televate 294 5.218 TELEX (Bosch Security Systems) 295 5.219 Telum 296 5.220 Telrad Networks 297 5.221 TETRAtab 298 5.222 Thales 299 5.223 TI (Texas Instruments) 301 5.224 TITAN Communication Systems 302 5.225 Toshiba Corporation 303 5.226 Tropico 304 5.227 UNIMO Technology 305 5.228 Utility 306 5.229 Vidyo 307 5.230 Westell Technologies 308 5.231 Wildox (Shenzhen Happy Technology Company) 309 5.232 WinMate Communication 310 5.233 WNC (Wistron NeWeb Corporation) 311 5.234 xG Technology 312 5.235 Xplore Technologies Corporation 313 5.236 Z-Com (ZDC Wireless) 314 5.237 Zetron (JVC Kenwood) 315 5.238 Zinwave 316 5.239 ZTE 317 6 Chapter 6: Public Safety LTE Spectrum Allocation Strategies Worldwide 318 6.1 North America 318 6.2 Latin & Central America 319 6.3 Europe 320 6.4 Middle East & Africa 321 6.5 Asia Pacific 322 6.6 The Prospects of Spectrum Harmonization 323 6.6.1 Lobbying From Industry Bodies 323 6.6.2 700 MHz 323 6.6.3 400 MHz 323 7 Chapter 7: Market Analysis and Forecasts 324 7.1 The Global Public Safety Mobile Broadband Market 324 7.1.1 Public Safety Data Subscriptions over Commercial Cellular Networks 324 7.1.2 Data Subscriptions over LMR Networks 325 7.1.3 Public Safety Data Subscriptions over Private Mobile Broadband 326 7.1.3.1 The Unreliability of Commercial Cellular Mobile Broadband Networks 326 7.1.3.2 Private Public Safety LTE and WiMAX Subscriptions Compared 326 7.2 The Global Public Safety LTE Devices Market 328 7.2.1 Private Public Safety LTE Networks 328 7.2.1.1 Public Safety LTE Subscriptions over Private Networks 328 7.2.1.2 Public Safety LTE Device Shipments over Private Networks 329 7.2.1.3 Public Safety LTE Service Revenue over Private Networks 330 7.2.2 Public Safety LTE over Commercial LTE Networks 331 7.2.2.1 Public Safety LTE Subscriptions over Commercial Networks 331 7.2.2.2 Public Safety LTE Device Shipments over Commercial Networks 332 7.2.2.3 Public Safety LTE Service Revenue over Commercial Networks 333 7.2.3 Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Compared 334 7.2.3.1 Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions 334 7.2.3.2 Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipments 335 7.2.3.3 Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Service Revenue 336 7.2.4 Public Safety LTE Device Segmentation by Form Factor 337 7.2.4.1 Smartphones & Handportable Terminals 338 7.2.4.2 Vehicle Mount Routers & Terminals 339 7.2.4.3 Tablets & Notebook PCs 340 7.2.4.4 USB Dongles & Others 341 7.3 The Global Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Market 342 7.3.1 Segmentation by Submarket 343 7.3.2 RAN 344 7.3.3 EPC & Policy 345 7.3.4 Mobile Backhaul & Transport 346 7.3.5 RAN Segmentation by Mobility 347 7.3.5.1 Fixed Base Stations 348 7.3.5.2 Transportable Base Stations 349 7.3.6 RAN Segmentation by Cell Size 350 7.3.6.1 Macrocells 351 7.3.6.2 Small Cells 352 7.3.7 Transportable RAN Segmentation by Form Factor 353 7.3.7.1 CIAB (Cell-in-a-Box) 354 7.3.7.2 COW (Cell-on-Wheels) 355 7.3.7.3 Airborne Cells 356 7.3.8 Public Safety & Commercial LTE Base Station Shipments Compared 357 7.4 Regional Market Assessment 358 7.4.1 Asia Pacific 358 7.4.1.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue 358 7.4.1.2 Devices 359 7.4.1.3 Infrastructure 360 7.4.1.4 Base Stations 360 7.4.1.5 EPC & Policy 361 7.4.1.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport 362 7.4.2 North America 363 7.4.2.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue 363 7.4.2.2 Devices 364 7.4.2.3 Infrastructure 365 7.4.2.4 Base Stations 365 7.4.2.5 EPC & Policy 366 7.4.2.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport 367 7.4.3 Latin & Central America 368 7.4.3.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue 368 7.4.3.2 Devices 369 7.4.3.3 Infrastructure 370 7.4.3.4 Base Stations 370 7.4.3.5 EPC & Policy 371 7.4.3.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport 372 7.4.4 Middle East & Africa 373 7.4.4.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue 373 7.4.4.2 Devices 374 7.4.4.3 Infrastructure 375 7.4.4.4 Base Stations 375 7.4.4.5 EPC & Policy 376 7.4.4.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport 377 7.4.5 Eastern Europe 378 7.4.5.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue 378 7.4.5.2 Devices 379 7.4.5.3 Infrastructure 380 7.4.5.4 Base Stations 380 7.4.5.5 EPC & Policy 381 7.4.5.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport 382 7.4.6 Western Europe 383 7.4.6.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue 383 7.4.6.2 Devices 384 7.4.6.3 Infrastructure 385 7.4.6.4 Base Stations 385 7.4.6.5 EPC & Policy 386 7.4.6.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport 387 8 Chapter 8: Standardization & Regulatory Initiatives 388 8.1 NPSTC (National Public Safety Telecommunications Council) 388 8.2 NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology) 388 8.3 NTIA (National Telecommunications and Information Administration) 389 8.4 PSCR (Public Safety Communications Research) 389 8.5 APCO International (Association of Public-Safety Communications Officials) 390 8.6 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project) 390 8.7 TCCA (TETRA and Critical Communications Association) 390 8.8 ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute) 391 8.9 UIC (International Union of Railways) 391 8.10 ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions) 392 8.11 TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association) 392 8.12 OMA (Open Mobile Alliance) 393 8.13 Features for Public Safety LTE Standardization 393 8.13.1 OMA’s PCPS (Push-to-Communicate for Public Safety) 393 8.13.2 Building upon PCPS: 3GPP’s MCPTT (Mission Critical PTT) 394 8.13.3 GCSE (Group Communication Service Enablers) 394 8.13.4 GROUPE (Group Based Enhancements) 395 8.13.5 D2D Communication & ProSe (Proximity Services) 395 8.13.6 eProSe (Extended Proximity-based Services) 396 8.13.7 Resilience & IOPS (Isolated E-UTRAN Operation for Public Safety) 397 8.13.8 Higher Power User Terminals 397 9 Chapter 9: Conclusion and Strategic Recommendations 398 9.1 Consolidation and Alliances 398 9.1.1 Recent Acquisitions 398 9.1.2 Alliances: Are there More to Come? 399 9.2 Improving Economics: Monetizing Unused Capacity 400 9.3 PTT Standardization: The Key to a Successful Ecosystem 400 9.3.1 Adoption of OMA’s PoC Standards 400 9.3.2 3GPP MCPTT: Timelines for Standardization & Commercial Availability 400 9.3.3 Will China’s B-TrunC Standard Witness International Adoption? 401 9.4 Status of Private LTE Network Rollouts 402 9.4.1 Early Rollouts in the Middle East 402 9.4.2 Increasing Traction in Asia Pacific 402 9.4.3 North America and Other Regions 402 9.5 Prospects of FirstNet 403 9.5.1 Funding Prospects & Strategies 403 9.5.2 Proposed Revenue Model 403 9.5.3 Seeking Partnerships 404 9.5.4 Technical Constraints 404 9.5.5 Moving Towards the Applications Ecosystem 405 9.5.6 Status of “Early Builder” Ventures 405 9.5.7 Deployment Timeline Forecast 406 9.5.8 Waiting for 3GPP Release 13 407 9.5.9 “Opt-Out” Opportunities 407 9.6 Spectrum: Will 700 MHz Gear Dominate the Market Worldwide? 408 9.6.1 Prospects of 400 MHz LTE 408 9.6.2 TD-LTE and Opportunities for Higher Bands in Public Safety 409 9.7 Proposals for Wholly Commercial Public Safety LTE Networks 409 9.7.1 Case Study: UK’s ESN (Emergency Services Network) 409 9.8 The Public Safety LTE MVNO Opportunity 411 9.8.1 ASTRID 411 9.8.2 Airwave 411 9.8.3 VIRVE 411 9.9 Revenue Prospects for Commercial Carriers 412 9.9.1 The Opportunity for LTE Service Revenue 412 9.9.2 Emerging Business Models: Telefónica’s “LTE in Box” 412 9.9.3 PTT and Dispatch Solutions over LTE 412 9.10 TCO Analysis: Private LTE vs. Public-Private Partnerships 413 9.11 Military & Tactical Deployments Gaining Traction 414 9.12 What Cell Types will Public Safety LTE Networks Encompass? 415 9.12.1 Macrocells 416 9.12.2 Small Cells 417 9.12.3 Macrocell Relay Nodes: Does the Opportunity Exist? 418 9.12.4 Tactical COW Units 419 9.12.5 Tactical CIAB Units 420 9.12.6 Airborne Cells 421 9.13 Public Safety LTE Mobile Core Investments 422 9.14 Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Investments 422 9.15 Strategic Recommendations 423 9.15.1 Recommendations for LMR Vendors/Integrators 423 9.15.2 Recommendations for LTE Infrastructure Vendors 423 9.15.3 Recommendations for Public Safety Agencies 424 9.15.4 Recommendations for Commercial Wireless Carriers 425 10 Chapter 10: Expert Opinion – Interview Transcripts 426 10.1 Airbus Defence and Space 426 10.2 Airwave Solutions 431 10.3 CalAmp Corporation 438 10.4 Motorola Solutions 440 10.5 Oceus Networks 446 10.6 Star Solutions 450
List of Figures Figure 1: Global LMR Subscriptions by Technology: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 37 Figure 2: Global Analog LMR Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 37 Figure 3: Global DMR Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 38 Figure 4: Global dPMR, NXDN & PDT Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 38 Figure 5: Global P25 Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 39 Figure 6: Global TETRA Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 39 Figure 7: Global Tetrapol Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 40 Figure 8: Global Other LMR Technology Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 40 Figure 9: Global Mobile Broadband Subscriptions by Technology: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 43 Figure 10: Purpose of Using Mobile Broadband for Public Safety Applications (Survey Results) 44 Figure 11: Global LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 47 Figure 12: Public Safety LTE Network Architecture 49 Figure 13: Global VoLTE (Voice over LTE) Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 55 Figure 14: 5G Requirements 58 Figure 15: Public Safety LTE Industry Roadmap 71 Figure 16: Global Mobile Video Surveillance Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 80 Figure 17: PTT over LTE Application 84 Figure 18: Global Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Applications Revenue by Category: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 85 Figure 19: Global Public Safety Mobile Broadband Subscriptions over Public Networks by Technology: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 325 Figure 20: Global LMR Data Subscriptions by Technology: 2015 – 2030 (Thousands) 325 Figure 21: Global Public Safety Mobile Broadband Subscriptions over Private Networks by Technology: 2015 – 2030 (Thousands) 326 Figure 22: Global Public Safety LTE Subscriptions over Private Networks: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 328 Figure 23: Global Public Safety LTE Device Shipments over Private LTE Networks: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 329 Figure 24: Global Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Networks: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 329 Figure 25: Global Public Safety LTE Service Revenue over Private Networks: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 330 Figure 26: Global Public Safety LTE Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 331 Figure 27: Global Public Safety LTE Device Shipments over Commercial Networks: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 332 Figure 28: Global Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue over Commercial Networks: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 332 Figure 29: Global Public Safety LTE Service Revenue over Commercial Networks: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 333 Figure 30: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 334 Figure 31: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 – 2030 (Thousands of Units) 335 Figure 32: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipment Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 335 Figure 33: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 336 Figure 34: Global Public Safety LTE Device Shipments by Form Factor: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 337 Figure 35: Global Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue by Form Factor: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 337 Figure 36: Global Public Safety LTE Smartphone & Handportable Terminal Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 338 Figure 37: Global Public Safety LTE Smartphone & Handportable Terminal Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 338 Figure 38: Global Public Safety LTE Vehicle Mount Router & Terminal Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 339 Figure 39: Global Public Safety LTE Vehicle Mount Router & Terminal Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 339 Figure 40: Global Public Safety LTE Tablet & Notebook PC Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 340 Figure 41: Global Public Safety LTE Tablet & Notebook PC Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 340 Figure 42: Global Public Safety LTE USB Dongle & Other Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 341 Figure 43: Global Public Safety LTE USB Dongle & Other Device Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 341 Figure 44: Global Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 342 Figure 45: Global Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue by Submarket: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 343 Figure 46: Global Public Safety LTE RAN Investments: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 344 Figure 47: Global Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Investments: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 345 Figure 48: Global Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Investments: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 346 Figure 49: Global Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments by Mobility: 2015 - 2030 347 Figure 50: Global Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue by Mobility: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 347 Figure 51: Global Fixed Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 348 Figure 52: Global Fixed Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 348 Figure 53: Global Transportable Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 349 Figure 54: Global Transportable Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 349 Figure 55: Global Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments by Cell Size: 2015 - 2030 350 Figure 56: Global Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue by Cell Size: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 350 Figure 57: Global Public Safety LTE Macrocell Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 351 Figure 58: Global Public Safety LTE Macrocell Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 351 Figure 59: Global Public Safety LTE Small Cell Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 352 Figure 60: Global Public Safety LTE Small Cell Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 352 Figure 61: Global Transportable Public Safety LTE eNB Base Station Unit Shipments by Form Factor: 2015 - 2030 353 Figure 62: Global Transportable Public Safety LTE eNB Base Station Unit Shipment Revenue by Form Factor: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 353 Figure 63: Global Public Safety LTE CIAB Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 354 Figure 64: Global Public Safety LTE CIAB Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 354 Figure 65: Global Public Safety LTE COW Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 355 Figure 66: Global Public Safety LTE COW Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 355 Figure 67: Global Public Safety LTE Airborne Cell Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 356 Figure 68: Global Public Safety LTE Airborne Cell Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 356 Figure 69: Global Public Safety and Commercial LTE Base Station (eNB) Shipments Compared: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 357 Figure 70: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 358 Figure 71: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 358 Figure 72: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 359 Figure 73: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 359 Figure 74: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 360 Figure 75: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 360 Figure 76: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 361 Figure 77: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 361 Figure 78: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 362 Figure 79: North America Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 363 Figure 80: North America Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 363 Figure 81: North America Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 364 Figure 82: North America Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 364 Figure 83: North America Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 365 Figure 84: North America Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 365 Figure 85: North America Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 366 Figure 86: North America Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 366 Figure 87: North America Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 367 Figure 88: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 368 Figure 89: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 368 Figure 90: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 369 Figure 91: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 369 Figure 92: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 370 Figure 93: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 370 Figure 94: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 371 Figure 95: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 371 Figure 96: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 372 Figure 97: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 373 Figure 98: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 373 Figure 99: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 374 Figure 100: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 374 Figure 101: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 375 Figure 102: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 375 Figure 103: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 376 Figure 104: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 376 Figure 105: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 377 Figure 106: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 378 Figure 107: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 378 Figure 108: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 379 Figure 109: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 379 Figure 110: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 380 Figure 111: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 380 Figure 112: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 381 Figure 113: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 381 Figure 114: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 382 Figure 115: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions) 383 Figure 116: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million) 383 Figure 117: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 384 Figure 118: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 384 Figure 119: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 385 Figure 120: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030 385 Figure 121: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 386 Figure 122: Western Europe Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 386 Figure 123: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million) 387 Figure 124: LTE ProSe (Proximity Service) Examples 395 Figure 125: TCO Comparison for Private LTE vs. Public-Private Partnership 413 Figure 126: Global Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Installed Base by Cell Size: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 415 Figure 127: Global Public Safety LTE Macrocell Installed Base: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 416 Figure 128: Global Public Safety LTE Small Cell Installed Base: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 417 Figure 129: Global Public Safety LTE COW Installed Base: 2015 - 2030 419 Figure 130: Global Public Safety LTE CIAB Installed Base: 2015 - 2030 420 Figure 131: Global Public Safety LTE Airborne Cell Installed Base: 2015 - 2030 421
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