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Future of the Italian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Published: Apr 29, 2016 | Pages: 125 | Publisher: Strategic Defence Intelligence | Industry: Defense | Report Format: Electronic (PDF)

Summary

Italy's defense expenditure decreased from US$18.1 billion in 2012 to US$15.4 billion in 2016, reflecting a negative CAGR of 3.95%.This reduction can be attributed to the country's struggling economy and the government's attempt to reduce Italy's overall expenditure. However, this trend is expected to change considering Italy's plan to modernize its defense equipment and strategic initiative to counter terrorism. The defense expenditure over the forecast period is projected to rise from US$14.8 billion in 2017 to US$16.5 billion in 2021, at a CAGR of 2.75%. The country is estimated to maintain the budget allocation towards capital expenditure to an average of 14.6% over the forecast period

Key Findings

- During 2012-2016, Italian defense expenditure registered negative growth of -3.95%, decreasing from US$18.1 billion in 2012 to US$15.4 billion in 2016
- Defense expenditure is anticipated to register a positive CAGR of 2.72% over 2017-2021and reach a value of US$16.5 billion in 2021
- Over the forecast period, the country's budget for homeland security is expected to be US$33.9 billion cumulatively
- The key areas of investment are expected to be frigates, fighters and multi-role aircraft, missile defense systems, transport and utility helicopters, and amphibious ships

Synopsis

Strategic Defence Intelligence's report - Future of the Italian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021 offers detailed analysis of the industry with market size forecasts from 2017-2021. This report sheds light on factors that influence demand in the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the defense industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns
- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
- Porter's Five Force analysis of the defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry
- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years
- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities from 2016 to 2026
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: including an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons to Buy

- Identify and track the global defense market and make regional comparisons to effectively target new revenue streams
- Understand the importance of being led by the defense ministries in the military procurement market and define your strategies with insight on what your customers really want by analyzing recent orders, technical specifications, and the country's expected investment pattern during 2017-2021
- Make correct business decisions based on detailed analysis of the defense industry from 2017-2021,which includes the total competitive landscape of the sector with detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers along with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis
- Determine prospective investment areas by gaining an in-depth understanding of the industry in terms of market opportunities
- Channel resources by identifying various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues across different sectors during 2017-2021
 Table of Content

1. Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2. Executive Summary

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Italian annual defense expenditure expected to reach US$XX billion in XX
3.1.2. Modernization of defense systems, peacekeeping initiatives, maintaining NATO, EU, and UN stipulations, and increasing terrorism activities expected to drive Italian defense expenditure
3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to average XX% during the forecast period 22
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. The majority of Italy's defense budget is allocated for revenue expenditure
3.2.2. Overall capital expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of XX% during the forecast period
3.2.3. Common services leads the defense budget allocation with XX% share during 2012 to 2016
3.2.4. Army expenditure expected to reach US$XXbillion by 2021
3.2.5. Air force expenditure expected to grow at CAGR XX% during forecast period
3.2.6. Cumulative navy expenditure expected to be US$XX billion during the forecast period
3.2.7. Common services expenditure is expected to reachUS$XX billion in 2021
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland security expenditure expected to reach US$XX billion in 2021
3.3.2. Homeland security expenditure in Italy is mainly driven by activities such as terrorism in the country, mafia wars, cyber security issues, and rising anarchist groups
3.3.3. SDI Terrorism Index rates Italy as a “XX” region
3.3.4. Italy has a score of XX on the Terrorism Index
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Italian defense expenditure expected to increase significantly over the forecast period
3.4.2. Italy is one of the largest defense spenders in the world
3.4.3. Italy expected to spend an average of XX% of its GDP on defense over the forecast period
3.4.4. Italy faces “moderate risk” by acts of terrorism
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers
3.5.1. Frigates
3.5.2. Fighters and Multi-Role Aircraft
3.5.3. Missile Defense System
3.5.4. Transport and Utility Helicopter
3.5.5. Amphibious Ships

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Arms imports expected to remain constant during the forecast period
4.1.2. European countries such as Germany, France, and the UK have entered the import market in competition with the US
4.1.3. Aircraft, ships, and sensors were the key defense imports during 2011-2015
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Falling exports is a cause for concern for Italy's emerging military industry
4.2.2. Asia and the Middle East to account for a major portion of Italian defense exports
4.2.3. Aircraft was the main exported defense product during 2011-2015

5. Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of the supplier: medium
5.1.2. Bargaining power of the buyer: High
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: low
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low

6. Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. The Italian defense industry is largely driven by government regulation and policy
6.1.2. Restrictive defense policies to prevent increase in foreign investment
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Technology transfer provides good market entry opportunities
6.2.2. Research and development collaborations offer market access
6.2.3. Joint ventures, partnerships, and licensing agreements are key market entry strategies in Italy
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Defense budget cuts across Europe challenge domestic defense companies
6.3.2. Restrictive foreign policy poses a challenge for non-European companies to enter the Italian defense industry

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Finmeccanica: overview
7.2.2. Finmeccanica: products
7.2.3. Finmeccanica: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Finmeccanica: alliances
7.2.5. Finmeccanica: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Finmeccanica: financial analysis
7.2.7. Selex ES: overview
7.2.8. Selex ES: products and services
7.2.9. Selex ES: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.10. Selex ES: alliances
7.2.11. Selex ES: recent contract wins
7.2.12. Oto Melara: overview
7.2.13. Oto Melara: products
7.2.14. Oto Melara: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.15. Oto Melara: alliances
7.2.16. Oto Melara: recent contract wins
7.2.17. Fincantieri: overview
7.2.18. Fincantieri: defense products
7.2.19. Fincantieri: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.20. Fincantieri: alliances
7.2.21. Fincantieri: recent contract wins
7.2.22. Fincantieri: financial analysis
7.2.23. MBDA: overview
7.2.24. MBDA: defense products
7.2.25. MBDA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.26. MBDA: alliances
7.2.27. MBDA: recent contract wins
7.2.28. WASS: overview
7.2.29. WASS: products
7.2.30. WASS: alliances
7.2.31. WASS: recent contract wins
7.3. Key Private Companies
7.3.1. Elettronica: overview
7.3.2. Elettronica: products
7.3.3. Elettronica: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. Elettronica: alliances
7.3.5. Elettronica: recent contract wins

8. Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Economic Performance
8.1.1. Gross Domestic Product per Capita
8.1.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$
8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services
8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services
8.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income
8.1.6. Local Currency Unit per USD
8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.1.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.1.9. Total Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP (LCU bn)
8.1.10. Goods Exports as a % of GDP
8.1.11. Goods Imports as a % of GDP
8.1.12. Services Imports as a % of GDP
8.1.13. Services Exports as a % of GDP
8.1.14. Net Foreign Direct Investment (BoP, current US$ bn)
8.1.15. Net FDI as a % of GDP
8.2. Minerals
8.2.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ billion)

9. Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer
List of Tables

Table 1: Italian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
Table 2: Italian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
Table 3: Italian Defense Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Table 4: Italian Defense Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2017-2021
Table5: Italian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2012-2016
Table 6: Italian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2017-2021
Table 7: Italian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2016
Table 8: Italian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2017-2021
Table 9: Italian Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2012-2016
Table 10: Italian Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2017-2021
Table 11: Italian Capital Expenditure (EUR billion), 2012-2016
Table 12: Italian Capital Expenditure (EUR billion), 2017-2021
Table 13: Italian Defense Expenditure Split (%), 2012-2016
Table 14: Italian Defense Expenditure Split (%), 2017-2021
Table 15: Italian Army Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
Table 16: Italian Army Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
Table 17: Italian Army Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Table 18: Italian Army Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2017-2021
Table 19: Italian Air Force Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
Table 20: Italian Air Force Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
Table 21: Italian Air Force Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Table 22: Italian Air Force Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2017-2021
Table 23: Italian Navy Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
Table 24: Italian Navy Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
Table 25: Italian Navy Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Table 26: Italian Navy Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2017-2021
Table 27: Italian Common Services Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
Table 28: Italian Common Services Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
Table 29: Italian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2012-2016
Table 30: Italian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2017-2021
Table 31: Italian Homeland Security Budget (EUR billion), 2012-2016
Table 32: Italian Homeland Security Budget (EUR billion), 2017-2021
Table 33: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016vs. 2017-2021
Table 34: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 35: Offset Regulations in Italy
Table 36: Italian Joint Development Programs for Missile Defense Systems
Table 37: Finmeccanica - Product Focus
Table 38: Finmeccanica - Alliances
Table 39: Finmeccanica- Recent Contract Wins
Table 40: Selex ES- Product Focus
Table 41: Selex ES - Alliances
Table 42: Selex ES - Recent Contract Wins
Table 43: Oto Melara - Product Focus
Table 44: Oto Melara - Alliances
Table 45: Oto Melara - Recent Contract Wins
Table 46: Fincantieri - Product Focus
Table 47: Fincantieri - Alliances
Table 48: Fincantieri - Recent Contract Wins
Table 49: MBDA - Product Focus
Table 50: MBDA - Alliances
Table 51: MBDA - Recent Contract Wins
Table 52: WASS - Product Focus
Table 53: WASS - Alliances
Table 54: WASS - Recent Contract Wins
Table 55: Elettronica - Product Focus
Table 56: Elettronica - Alliances
Table 57: Elettronica - Recent Contract Wins 


List of Figures

Figure 1: Italian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 2: Italian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
Figure 3: Italian Defense Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 4: Italian Defense Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2017-2021
Figure 5: Italian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2012-2016
Figure 6: Italian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2017-2021
Figure 7:Italian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2016
Figure 8: Italian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2017-2021
Figure 9: Italian Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2012-2016
Figure 10:Italian Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2017-2021
Figure 11: Italian Capital Expenditure (EUR billion), 2012-2016
Figure 12:Italian Capital Expenditure (EUR billion), 2017-2021
Figure 13: Italian Defense Expenditure Split (US$ billion), 2012-2016
Figure 14: Italian Defense Expenditure Split (US$ billion), 2017-2021
Figure 15: Italian Army Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 16: Italian Army Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
Figure 17: Italian Army Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 18: Italian Army Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2017-2021
Figure 19: Italian Air force Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 20: Italian Air Force Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
Figure 21: Italian Air force Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 22: Italian Air Force Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2017-2021
Figure 23: Italian Navy Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 24: Italian Navy Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
Figure 25: Italian Navy Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 26: Italian Navy Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2017-2021
Figure 27: Italian Common Services Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 28: Italian Common Services Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
Figure 29: Italian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2012-2016
Figure 30: Italian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2017-2021
Figure 31: Italian Homeland Security Budget (EUR billion), 2012-2016
Figure 32: Italian Homeland Security Budget (EUR billion), 2017-2021
Figure 33: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016
Figure 34: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
Figure 35: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
Figure 36: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2016 and 2021
Figure 37: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2016
Figure 38: Frigates Market (US$ Million), 2016-2026
Figure 39: Fighters and Multi-Role Aircraft (US$ Million), 2016-2026
Figure 40:Missile Defense System (US$ Million), 2016-2026
Figure 41: Transport and Utility Helicopters (US$ Million), 2016-2026
Figure 42: Amphibious Ships (US$ Million), 2016-2026
Figure 43: Italian Defense Import Trend, 2011-2015 (TIV values)
Figure 44: Italian Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015
Figure 45: Italian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015
Figure 46: Italian Defense Export Trend, 2011-2015 (TIV values)
Figure 47: Italian Defense Exports by Country (%), 2011-2015
Figure 48: Italian Defense Exports by Category (%), 2011-2015
Figure 49: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 50: Finmeccanica- Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 51: Finmeccanica- Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2011-2015
Figure 52: Finmeccanica- Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2011-2015
Figure 53: Fincantieri - Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 54: Fincantieri - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2010-2014
Figure 55: Fincantieri - Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2010-2014
Figure 56: Italy GDP per Capita, 2015-2025
Figure 57: Italy Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Bn), 2015-2025
Figure 58: Italy Exports of goods and services (LCU billion), 2005-2014
Figure 59: Italy Imports of goods and services (LCU Bn), 2005-2014
Figure 60: Italy Gross national disposable income (US$ Bn), 2005-2014
Figure 61: Italy LCU per US$, 2015-2024
Figure 62: Italy Market Capitalization of listed Companies (US$ Bn), 2005-2012
Figure 63: Italy Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a % of GDP, 2005-2012
Figure 64: Italy Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU Bn), 2005-2012
Figure 65: Italy Goods Exports as a % of GDP, 2005-2014
Figure 66: Italy Goods Imports as a % of GDP, 2005-2014
Figure 67: Italy Services Imports as a % of GDP, 2005-2014
Figure 68: Italy Services Exports as a % of GDP, 2005-2014
Figure 69: Italy Net Foreign Direct Investment (current US$ bn), 2005-2014
Figure 70: Italy Net FDI as a % of GDP, 2005-2014
Figure 71: Italy Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output(US$ Bn), 2005-2014

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